Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-09 1.229316 1.400733 1.587324 1.805511 2.053671 2.327176 2.651555
2025-11-16 0.962021 1.194580 1.469913 1.819942 2.253266 2.772402 3.442156
2025-11-23 0.818153 1.078284 1.404706 1.844437 2.421719 3.154448 4.156524
2025-11-30 0.704919 0.975568 1.331781 1.835001 2.528219 3.450776 4.774282
2025-12-07 0.610219 0.881111 1.252715 1.799802 2.585621 3.675306 5.304881
2025-12-14 0.530906 0.796296 1.174112 1.751306 2.612013 3.850318 5.772391
2025-12-21 0.473712 0.735637 1.121375 1.730944 2.671581 4.071196 6.318856
2025-12-28 0.446923 0.716743 1.126781 1.795373 2.860330 4.495087 7.204451
2026-01-04 0.404323 0.668272 1.081353 1.774964 2.913071 4.711842 7.782377
2026-01-11 0.381412 0.648580 1.078442 1.820478 3.072605 5.106759 8.677115
2026-01-18 0.353005 0.616693 1.052262 1.824161 3.161755 5.392222 9.411999
2026-01-25 0.321324 0.575989 1.007338 1.791163 3.184298 5.565951 9.967827
2026-02-01 0.286351 0.528734 0.951303 1.741648 3.187954 5.732365 10.573548
2026-02-08 0.263917 0.502089 0.929576 1.752718 3.304001 6.113052 11.616485
2026-02-15 0.245970 0.481473 0.916056 1.776408 3.443940 6.547787 12.800912
2026-02-22 0.225792 0.454227 0.887141 1.767317 3.519810 6.869122 13.799972
2026-03-01 0.204955 0.423306 0.847848 1.733416 3.542924 7.090257 14.622648
2026-03-08 0.185066 0.392064 0.804607 1.686708 3.534768 7.247670 15.330350
2026-03-15 0.170156 0.369444 0.776232 1.667096 3.579199 7.512995 16.285222
2026-03-22 0.164554 0.365886 0.786470 1.729150 3.800409 8.160663 18.113266
2026-03-29 0.151981 0.345837 0.760015 1.709493 3.843709 8.437904 19.164863
2026-04-05 0.145909 0.339564 0.762447 1.753330 4.030386 9.039459 20.995395
2026-04-12 0.137084 0.326088 0.747693 1.756877 4.126482 9.450405 22.433393